API + MCP live · talk to us

// FED & RATES · CROSS-VENUE

Fed cuts rates by more than 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting

Asks whether the FOMC cuts the target federal funds rate by 50 basis points or more at its July 29, 2026 meeting. Resolves Yes on a cut larger than 25 bps.

kalshi · KXFEDDECISION-26JUL-C26live
yes bid0.0¢
yes ask1.0¢
last1.0¢
Taker fee: 0.07 × contracts × p × (1−p), rounded up to the cent · view on venue
polymarketlive
yes bid0.1¢
yes ask0.2¢
last0.1¢
No exchange trading fee on most markets; spread + gas are the cost · view on venue
Fee-adjusted, buying 100 yes at the ask
kalshi effective (incl. $0.07 fee)1.1¢
polymarket effective (excl. gas)0.2¢
net-cheaper venuePolymarket

Top-of-book comparison at the venues' last-refreshed quotes (updated ~every 15 minutes; venue pages have the live book). Real fills interact with depth — see slippage in thin markets and the full fee comparison. The venues may also define resolution differently — always read both rule sets. This page is information, not investment advice.

Route this order to the net-cheaper venue automatically

Mithril runs this comparison — fee-adjusted, depth-aware — on every order, and proves the result with an execution receipt.