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// MARKETS · CROSS-VENUE

Same event, two order books.

29 events currently listed on both Kalshi and Polymarket. Each page shows both venues' live prices and the fee-adjusted comparison — refreshed every 15 minutes.

// FED & RATES

Fed leaves rates unchanged at the July 2026 meeting

Asks whether the FOMC leaves the target federal funds rate unchanged at its July 29, 2026 meeting. Resolves Yes if the Fed makes no change to the target range at that meeting.

KXFEDDECISION-26JUL-H0 · polymarket

Fed cuts rates by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting

Asks whether the FOMC cuts the target federal funds rate by exactly 25 basis points at its July 29, 2026 meeting. Resolves Yes on a 25 bps cut to the target range.

KXFEDDECISION-26JUL-C25 · polymarket

Fed hikes rates by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting

Asks whether the FOMC raises the target federal funds rate by exactly 25 basis points at its July 29, 2026 meeting. Resolves Yes on a 25 bps hike to the target range.

KXFEDDECISION-26JUL-H25 · polymarket

Fed cuts rates by more than 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting

Asks whether the FOMC cuts the target federal funds rate by 50 basis points or more at its July 29, 2026 meeting. Resolves Yes on a cut larger than 25 bps.

KXFEDDECISION-26JUL-C26 · polymarket

Fed hikes rates by more than 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting

Asks whether the FOMC raises the target federal funds rate by 50 basis points or more at its July 29, 2026 meeting. Resolves Yes on a hike larger than 25 bps.

KXFEDDECISION-26JUL-H26 · polymarket

Fed leaves rates unchanged at the September 2026 meeting

Asks whether the FOMC leaves the target federal funds rate unchanged at its September 2026 meeting. Resolves Yes if the Fed makes no change to the target range at that meeting.

KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H0 · polymarket

// CRYPTO

Bitcoin trades above $67,500 in July 2026

Asks whether the price of Bitcoin trades above $67,500 at any point during July 2026, through 11:59 PM ET on July 31. Resolves Yes on any touch of that level during the month.

KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-6750000 · polymarket

Bitcoin trades above $70,000 in July 2026

Asks whether the price of Bitcoin trades above $70,000 at any point during July 2026, through 11:59 PM ET on July 31. Resolves Yes on any touch of that level during the month.

KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-7000000 · polymarket

Bitcoin trades below $57,500 in July 2026

Asks whether the price of Bitcoin trades below $57,500 at any point during July 2026, through 11:59 PM ET on July 31. Resolves Yes on any touch of that level during the month.

KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUL31-5750000 · polymarket

// SPORTS

Lando Norris wins the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship

Asks whether Lando Norris finishes first in the drivers' standings for the 2026 Formula 1 season. Resolves Yes if he is the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion.

KXF1-26-LN · polymarket

Charles Leclerc wins the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship

Asks whether Charles Leclerc finishes first in the drivers' standings for the 2026 Formula 1 season. Resolves Yes if he is the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion.

KXF1-26-CL · polymarket

Lionel Messi wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Asks whether Lionel Messi is awarded the 2026 Ballon d'Or. Resolves Yes if he wins the award.

KXBALLONDOR-26-LMES · polymarket

Lionel Messi wins the 2026 World Cup Golden Ball

Asks whether Lionel Messi wins the Golden Ball, awarded to the best player of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Resolves Yes if FIFA names him the Golden Ball winner.

KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-LMESS · polymarket

Lamine Yamal wins the 2026 World Cup Golden Ball

Asks whether Lamine Yamal wins the Golden Ball, awarded to the best player of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Resolves Yes if FIFA names him the Golden Ball winner.

KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-LYAMA · polymarket

Kylian Mbappé wins the 2026 World Cup Golden Ball

Asks whether Kylian Mbappé wins the Golden Ball, awarded to the best player of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Resolves Yes if FIFA names him the Golden Ball winner.

KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-KMBAP · polymarket

Lionel Messi is the top goalscorer of the 2026 World Cup

Asks whether Lionel Messi leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup in goals across the full tournament. Resolves Yes if he finishes as the tournament's top goalscorer.

KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LMES · polymarket

Kylian Mbappé is the top goalscorer of the 2026 World Cup

Asks whether Kylian Mbappé leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup in goals across the full tournament. Resolves Yes if he finishes as the tournament's top goalscorer.

KXWCGOALLEADER-26-KMBA · polymarket

Harry Kane is the top goalscorer of the 2026 World Cup

Asks whether Harry Kane leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup in goals across the full tournament. Resolves Yes if he finishes as the tournament's top goalscorer.

KXWCGOALLEADER-26-HKAN · polymarket

Spain beats Argentina in regulation, World Cup final (Jul 19)

Asks whether Spain wins the Spain vs Argentina 2026 FIFA World Cup match on July 19, 2026 within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Resolves Yes on a Spain regulation-time win.

KXWCGAME-26JUL19ESPARG-ESP · polymarket

Argentina beats Spain in regulation, World Cup final (Jul 19)

Asks whether Argentina wins the Spain vs Argentina 2026 FIFA World Cup match on July 19, 2026 within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Resolves Yes on an Argentina regulation-time win.

KXWCGAME-26JUL19ESPARG-ARG · polymarket

France beats England in regulation (Jul 18)

Asks whether France wins the France vs England 2026 FIFA World Cup match on July 18, 2026 within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Resolves Yes on a France regulation-time win.

KXWCGAME-26JUL18FRAENG-FRA · polymarket

England beats France in regulation (Jul 18)

Asks whether England wins the France vs England 2026 FIFA World Cup match on July 18, 2026 within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Resolves Yes on an England regulation-time win.

KXWCGAME-26JUL18FRAENG-ENG · polymarket

// ELECTIONS & POLITICS